IF Forecasts for the Philippines – 2012, 2030, 2060

 

IF Forecasts for the Philippines – 2012, 2030, 2060

Posted on October 5, 2012

 

Forecast Categories for Philippines
Population
Health
Education
Social/Human Needs
Economy
Energy
Environment
International Politics
Domestic Government

 

http://www.ifs.du.edu/ifs/frm_CountryProfile.aspx?Country=PH&Var=POP&Dim2=&Dim3=&Line=True

Population – Mil People –
2012: 97.13
2030: 127.4
2060: 154.9
Population growth rate – Percent –

2012: 1.785
2030: 1.134
2060: 0.264
Crude birthrate – Per Thous –

2012: 24.27
2030: 18.66
2060: 12.63
Crude death rate – Per Thous –

2012: 4.311
2030: 5.400
2060: 8.014
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births – Per Thous –

2012: 15.86
2030: 10.42
2060: 5.457
Life expectancy – Total – Years –

2012: 73.22
2030: 76.11
2060: 80.47
Life expectancy – Male – Years –

2012: 70.92
2030: 73.40
2060: 77.10
Life expectancy – Female – Years –

2012: 75.54
2030: 78.88
2060: 83.88
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) – Births –

2012: 3.034
2030: 2.389
2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population – Percent –

2012: 0.009
2030: 0.007
2060: 0.002
Population, aged 0 to 5 – Mil People –

2012: 13.59
2030: 14.36
2060: 11.86
Population, aged 15 years or less – Mil People –

2012: 33.53
2030: 35.62
2060: 29.61
Population, aged 15 to 65 – Mil People –

2012: 59.82
2030: 82.16
2060: 100.6
Population, aged more than 65 years – Mil People –

2012: 3.772
2030: 9.632
2060: 24.73
Population in urban areas – Mil People –

2012: 65.44
2030: 100.3
2060: 134.3
Labor participation rate – Ratio –

2012: 0.411
2030: 0.447
2060: 0.466
Female share of the labor force – Percent –

2012: 38.79
2030: 42.95
2060: 46.74

 

Health Forecast for Philippines –

Obesity Rate – Total – Percent –
2012: 4.462
2030: 5.161
2060: 6.882
Smoking Rate – Total – Percent –

2012: 24.99
2030: 25.19
2060: 25.76
Malnourished children as percent – Percent –

2012: 25.23
2030: 17.17
2060: 9.369
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation – Percent –

2012: 25.91
2030: 21.61
2060: 17.18
Malnourished population as percent – Percent –

2012: 21.70
2030: 15.25
2060: 4.873

 

Education Forecast for Philippines –

Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross – Total – Percent –
2012: 110.6
2030: 105.6
2060: 101.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net – Total – Percent –

2012: 91.57
2030: 96.34
2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) – Total – Percent –

2012: 89.77
2030: 99.83
2060: 103.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) – Total – Percent –

2012: 65.71
2030: 78.06
2060: 90.84
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate – Total – Percent –

2012: 28.76
2030: 32.49
2060: 40.32
Education, years obtained by population 25+ – Total – Years –

2012: 8.713
2030: 9.182
2060: 10.04
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older – Percent –

2012: 95.65
2030: 97.78
2060: 100.0

 

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Philippines

Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation – Mil People –
2012: 19.56
2030: 12.89
2060: 8.255
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation – Mil People –

2012: 40.15
2030: 31.95
2060: 22.35
Human development index, UN Development Program’s measure – Index –

2012: 0.779
2030: 0.827
2060: 0.901
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program’s measure – Index –

2012: 11.54
2030: 7.634
2060: 3.319
Calories per capita available – Per Cap/Day –

2012: 2,589
2030: 2,714
2060: 2,962
Traditional/Secular-Rational index – Total – Index –

2012: -0.101
2030: -0.007
2060: 0.144
Survival/self-expression index – Total – Index –

2012: -0.322
2030: -0.135
2060: 0.162

 

Economy Forecast for Philippines

Gross domestic product at PPP – Billion $ –
2012: 306.0
2030: 635.0
2060: 1,655
Gross domestic product – Billion $ –

2012: 132.2
2030: 325.6
2060: 1,129
GDP per capita at PPP in 2000$ (converting 2005$ from ICP 2007 update) – Thousand $ –

2012: 3.151
2030: 4.984
2060: 10.68
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) – Index –

2012: 0.444
2030: 0.454
2060: 0.490
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) – Index –

2012: 33.77
2030: 34.39
2060: 33.73
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) – Index –

2012: 22.92
2030: 27.16
2060: 37.57

 

Energy Forecast for Philippines

Energy production – Oil – Bil Barr OE –
2012: 0.000
2030: 0.000
2060: 0.000

 

Environment Forecast for Philippines

Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels – Billion Tons –
2012: 0.020
2030: 0.048
2060: 0.098

 

International Politics Forecast for Philippines

Power index – Index –
2012: 0.560
2030: 0.666
2060: 0.810

 

Domestic Government Forecast for Philippines

Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) – Index –
2012: 10.09
2030: 10.99
2060: 12.47
Democracy measure, Polity project (Democ-Autoc+10; higher is better) – Index –

2012: 18.06
2030: 19.22
2060: 19.62
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) – Index 1-10 –

2012: 2.448
2030: 2.985
2060: 4.118
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better – Index 0-5 –

2012: 2.428
2030: 2.731
2060: 3.182
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) – Index –

2012: 6.861
2030: 7.188
2060: 7.685

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